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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Madrid III v Rayo Vallecano II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3

Real Madrid III

WWLL
0–0
–

Rayo Vallecano II

DLLLL
Real Madrid III 62%Draw 24%Rayo Vallecano II 13% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.63
62%
Betarazi pick

Real Madrid III to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.45

5/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Madrid III to win62% · @1.45
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.10

Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rayo Vallecano II travel to face Real Madrid III on Sunday 22 March in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, with Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3 the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Real Madrid III, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Quintanar del Rey, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Rayo Vallecano II, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Orihuela, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Real Madrid III, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Rayo Vallecano II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid III 1.7 xG, Rayo Vallecano II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid III 62%, draw 24%, Rayo Vallecano II 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Madrid III to win (62%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid III 1–0 Rayo Vallecano II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Madrid III62%fair 1.60 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.80
Rayo Vallecano II13%fair 7.59 · @5.75
2.36Expected goals
1.73Real Madrid III xG
0.63Rayo Vallecano II xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.7 – 0.6 Rayo Vallecano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real Madrid IIIRayo Vallecano II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average-38%-33%
Goals conceded vs average-43%+28%
Our expected goals here1.340.45

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Madrid III to win62%1.601.45
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score58%1.71–
Draw no betReal Madrid III (draw no bet)83%1.21–
Asian handicapReal Madrid III -0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.891.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.10–
First team to scoreReal Madrid III to score first66%1.50–
Half-time resultReal Madrid III ahead at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.10–

Recent results

Real Madrid III – last 4

WWLL
15 Mar@ Quintanar del Rey2–1W
8 Marvs Tenerife II4–0W
1 Mar@ Navalcarnero0–2L
15 Feb@ Socuéllamos1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Rayo Vallecano II – last 5

DLLLL
15 Marvs Orihuela0–0D
8 Mar@ Colonia Moscardó0–4L
1 Marvs Tenerife II1–4L
22 Feb@ Las Palmas II0–2L
15 Febvs SS Reyes0–1L
0.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Rayo Vallecano II.

Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
FT Getafe II2 Tenerife II1 154%1.62X24%3.55222%4.60 1.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.73 ✓
FT Intercity1 Rayo Majadahonda1 132%3.10X27%3.00241%2.15 1.1–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 59%@1.50 ✓
FT Colonia Moscardó1 Las Palmas II2 144%2.40X25%3.25231%2.55 1.5–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 50%@1.80 ✓
FT Elche II2 Fuenlabrada3 144%2.25X25%3.10230%2.85 1.6–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.65 ✗
FT RSD Alcalá1 Navalcarnero0 142%2.15X26%3.00232%3.10 1.4–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.55 ✓
FT Socuéllamos3 Quintanar del Rey1 141%2.25X26%3.00234%2.90 1.4–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.50 ✗
– Orihuela0 CD Coria1 157%1.75X24%3.30219%4.10 1.7–1.0xG 1Orihuela to win 57%@1.75

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our pick is Real Madrid III to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rayo Vallecano II 13%.

How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–0 Rayo Vallecano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.