Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RSD Alcalá welcome Navalcarnero to Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 22 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, RSD Alcalá are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Navalcarnero are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
RSD Alcalá, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tenerife II, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Navalcarnero, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Elche II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Navalcarnero, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for RSD Alcalá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 1.4 xG, Navalcarnero 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 42%, draw 26%, Navalcarnero 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 1–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá42%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.00
Navalcarnero32%fair 3.09 · @3.10
2.59Expected goals
1.39RSD Alcalá xG
1.20Navalcarnero xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.4 – 1.2 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
RSD Alcalá
Navalcarnero
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+1%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.54
1.34
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RSD Alcalá to win✓
42%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
RSD Alcalá (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Navalcarnero +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
RSD Alcalá to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
RSD Alcalá – last 3
LWL
15 Mar
@ Tenerife II
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Socuéllamos
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Orihuela
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Navalcarnero – last 5
WLWLW
15 Mar
vs Elche II
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Socuéllamos
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Real Madrid III
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Orihuela
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Intercity
3–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and Navalcarnero.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Navalcarnero 32%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tenerife II1
Intercity1
Rayo Majadahonda1
Colonia Moscardó1
Las Palmas II2
Elche II2
Fuenlabrada3
Socuéllamos3
Quintanar del Rey1
Rayo Vallecano II0
Orihuela0
CD Coria1