Value bet: NEOM to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNEOM to win ✗43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Al-Fayha vs NEOM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Fayha welcome NEOM to King Abdullah Sports City Stadium for a Pro League fixture on Wednesday 25 February (20:00 WAT). In the table, Al-Fayha are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; NEOM are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Fayha 1.1 xG, NEOM 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Fayha 30%, draw 27%, NEOM 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: NEOM to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Fayha 1–1 NEOM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Fayha30%fair 3.33 · @2.75
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
NEOM43%fair 2.30 · @2.60
2.56Expected goals
1.05Al-Fayha xG
1.51NEOM xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al-Fayha 1.1 – 1.5 NEOM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✗
43%
2.30
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Draw no bet
NEOM (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Al-Fayha +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
NEOM to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✗
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Al-Fayha – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Al Taawon
3–2
W
13 Feb
@ Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
NEOM
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Fayha and NEOM.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Fayha vs NEOM?
On our numbers Al-Fayha have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and NEOM 43%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fayha vs NEOM?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fayha vs NEOM?
Our predicted score is Al-Fayha 1–1 NEOM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Fayha vs NEOM?
Al-Fayha vs NEOM (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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