Al Najma vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 February: Al Najma v Al-Nassr in the Pro League, played at Al-Najma Club Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.1 xG, Al-Nassr 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 12%, draw 16%, Al-Nassr 72%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–2 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma12%fair 8.30 · @15.00
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @7.00
Al-Nassr72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
3.65Expected goals
1.12Al Najma xG
2.53Al-Nassr xG
53%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.1 – 2.5 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.45
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al-Nassr – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs Arkadag
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al-Nassr.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al-Nassr 72%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–2 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
Al Najma vs Al-Nassr (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Najma Club Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
