Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 56% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl-Ahli Jeddah to win ✓74% · @1.11
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Najma travel to face Al-Ahli Jeddah on Thursday 19 February in the Pro League, with King Abdullah Sports City the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.4 xG, Al Najma 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ahli Jeddah 74%, draw 15%, Al Najma 11%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–1 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Ahli Jeddah74%fair 1.35 · @1.11
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @8.50
Al Najma11%fair 9.37 · @21.00
3.37Expected goals
2.42Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
0.95Al Najma xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.4 – 1.0 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✓
74%
1.35
1.11
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Al-Ahli Jeddah -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.38
First team to score
Al-Ahli Jeddah to score first✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 2
WW
16 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Shabab
5–2
W
4.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Najma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Najma.
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Al Najma 11%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
