Value bet: Al-Ettifaq to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl-Ettifaq to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 19 February: Al-Ettifaq v Al-Fateh in the Pro League, played at Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium. In the table, Al-Ettifaq are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Al-Fateh are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ettifaq 1.8 xG, Al-Fateh 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ettifaq 48%, draw 24%, Al-Fateh 27%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Al-Ettifaq to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Fateh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Ettifaq48%fair 2.07 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.35
Al-Fateh27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
2.82Expected goals
1.76Al-Ettifaq xG
1.06Al-Fateh xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Al-Ettifaq 1.8 – 1.1 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ettifaq to win✓
48%
2.07
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Al-Ettifaq (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Al-Fateh +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Al-Ettifaq to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ettifaq / FT Al-Ettifaq✓
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Al-Ettifaq – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ettifaq and Al-Fateh.
What is the prediction for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al-Ettifaq have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al-Fateh 27%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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