Value bet: Al Najma to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Najma to win ✗37% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Al Najma vs Damac: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Damac travel to face Al Najma on Thursday 12 March in the Pro League, with Al-Najma Club Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Al Najma, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Al-Hilal Saudi FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Damac, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Al Riyadh, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Damac, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Al Najma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.4 xG, Damac 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 37%, draw 25%, Damac 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Al Najma to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–1 Damac. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma37%fair 2.67 · @2.95
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Damac37%fair 2.69 · @2.38
2.80Expected goals
1.45Al Najma xG
1.35Damac xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.4 – 1.4 Damac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
37%
2.67
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Al Najma (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Damac +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.07
First team to score
Al Najma to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 3
LLL
6 Mar
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–4
L
25 Feb
vs Al-Nassr
0–5
L
19 Feb
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–4
L
0.3Scored / game
4.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Damac – last 4
WDLL
5 Mar
vs Al Riyadh
3–0
W
26 Feb
@ Al-Fateh
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Al Shabab
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Damac.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al Najma vs Damac?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Damac 37%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Damac?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Damac?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 Damac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Damac?
Al Najma vs Damac (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Najma Club Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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