Value bet: NEOM to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNEOM to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
NEOM vs Al Taawon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 12 March: NEOM v Al Taawon in the Pro League, played at King Khalid Sport City Stadium. In the table, NEOM are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Al Taawon are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Taawon, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al-Fateh, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEOM 1.6 xG, Al Taawon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEOM 47%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 27%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: NEOM to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEOM 1–0 Al Taawon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEOM47%fair 2.11 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.35
Al Taawon27%fair 3.64 · @2.95
2.55Expected goals
1.62NEOM xG
0.93Al Taawon xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: NEOM 1.6 – 0.9 Al Taawon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✗
47%
2.11
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Draw no bet
NEOM (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Al Taawon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
NEOM to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
NEOM – last 1
D
25 Feb
@ Al-Fayha
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Taawon – last 3
WDL
6 Mar
vs Al-Fateh
3–2
W
24 Feb
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Al-Fayha
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEOM and Al Taawon.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win NEOM vs Al Taawon?
On our numbers NEOM have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Taawon 27%.
How many goals will there be in NEOM vs Al Taawon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEOM vs Al Taawon?
Our predicted score is NEOM 1–0 Al Taawon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is NEOM vs Al Taawon?
NEOM vs Al Taawon (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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