Al Kholood 45%Draw 23%Al-Fateh 32%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.31
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Al Kholood to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Kholood to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Thursday 21 May: Al Kholood v Al-Fateh in the Pro League, played at Ar-Rass Stadium. In the table, Al Kholood are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Al-Fateh are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Al Kholood, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Okhdood, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Al-Fateh, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Najma, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al-Fateh, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Al Kholood.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Kholood 1.8 xG, Al-Fateh 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Kholood 45%, draw 23%, Al-Fateh 32%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Al Kholood to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Kholood 1–1 Al-Fateh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Kholood45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.75
Al-Fateh32%fair 3.10 · @2.55
3.08Expected goals
1.77Al Kholood xG
1.31Al-Fateh xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Kholood 1.8 – 1.3 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Kholood to win✗
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Draw no bet
Al Kholood (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Al-Fateh +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Al Kholood to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Kholood / FT Al Kholood✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Al Kholood – last 6
DLDDLD
12 May
vs Al Okhdood
0–0
D
8 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–2
L
4 May
@ Al-Ittihad FC
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Al-Fayha
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–6
L
3 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
WLDWLL
14 May
vs Al Najma
2–0
W
6 May
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Al Taawon
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Kholood and Al-Fateh.
What is the prediction for Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al Kholood have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Fateh 32%.
How many goals will there be in Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al Kholood 1–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ar-Rass Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damac1
Al Okhdood0