Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓78% · @1.08
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Al-Nassr vs Damac: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 21 May the Pro League brings Al-Nassr against Damac at Al-Awwal Park. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Al-Nassr, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Hilal Saudi FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Damac, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Hilal Saudi FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al-Nassr, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Damac.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 2.7 xG, Damac 0.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 78%, draw 13%, Damac 9%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 2–1 Damac. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nassr78%fair 1.28 · @1.08
Draw13%fair 7.81 · @9.20
Damac9%fair 10.81 · @29.00
3.64Expected goals
2.72Al-Nassr xG
0.92Damac xG
55%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.7 – 0.9 Damac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
78%
1.28
1.08
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.44
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
52%
1.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Al-Nassr – last 6
DWWWWW
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
29 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Al Ahli Doha
5–1
W
19 Apr
@ Al-Wasl FC
4–0
W
15 Apr
vs Al-Ettifaq
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Damac – last 6
LWDWWD
28 Apr
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Al Okhdood
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Al Riyadh
3–0
W
26 Feb
@ Al-Fateh
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Damac.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Damac?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Damac 9%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Damac?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Damac?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–1 Damac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Damac?
Al-Nassr vs Damac (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Okhdood0