Cittadella vs Renate: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cittadella welcome Renate to Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Monday 16 February (20:30 WAT). In the table, Cittadella are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Renate are 17th (lower half) with 11. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella 1.4 xG, Renate 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella 46%, draw 27%, Renate 27%.
Lower-risk option: Cittadella or draw (73%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cittadella or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella 1–0 Renate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.00
Renate27%fair 3.69 · @3.45
2.22Expected goals
1.36Cittadella xG
0.86Renate xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.4 – 0.9 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cittadella
Renate
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+11%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-45%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.49
0.77
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella to win✓
46%
2.19
2.10
Double chance
Cittadella or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Cittadella (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Renate +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Cittadella to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Cittadella
No recent results on record.
Renate
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Renate.
Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cittadella vs Renate?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Renate 27%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Renate?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Renate?
Cittadella vs Renate (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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