Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✗57% · @1.65
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✗82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.90
Pergolettese vs Union Brescia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Monday 16 February: Pergolettese v Union Brescia in the Serie C Girone A, played at Giuseppe Voltini. In the table, Pergolettese are 10th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Union Brescia are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 0.8 xG, Union Brescia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 18%, draw 25%, Union Brescia 57%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 1–1 Union Brescia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pergolettese18%fair 5.54 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Union Brescia57%fair 1.77 · @1.65
2.37Expected goals
0.82Pergolettese xG
1.56Union Brescia xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Pergolettese 0.8 – 1.6 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pergolettese
Union Brescia
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-2%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-22%
Our expected goals here
0.99
1.69
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Brescia to win✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Double chance
Union Brescia or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.55
Draw no bet
Union Brescia (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Pergolettese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Union Brescia to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.90
–
Recent results
Pergolettese
No recent results on record.
Union Brescia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pergolettese and Union Brescia.
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Brescia 57%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–1 Union Brescia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Pergolettese vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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