Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arzignano Valchiampo welcome Ospitaletto to Tommaso Dal Molin for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 22 February (17:30 WAT). In the table, Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Ospitaletto are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arzignano Valchiampo 1.2 xG, Ospitaletto 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arzignano Valchiampo 39%, draw 27%, Ospitaletto 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Ospitaletto to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Ospitaletto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arzignano Valchiampo39%fair 2.57 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Ospitaletto34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.23Arzignano Valchiampo xG
1.20Ospitaletto xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.2 – 1.2 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arzignano Valchiampo
Ospitaletto
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+13%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.23
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arzignano Valchiampo to win✗
39%
2.57
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Arzignano Valchiampo (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Ospitaletto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Arzignano Valchiampo to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arzignano Valchiampo / FT Arzignano Valchiampo✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Arzignano Valchiampo – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Albinoleffe
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Inter U23
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Ospitaletto.
What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ospitaletto 34%.
How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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