Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pro Patria travel to face Union Brescia on Sunday 22 February in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Mario Rigamonti the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Brescia 1.9 xG, Pro Patria 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Brescia 66%, draw 20%, Pro Patria 14%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Brescia 2–0 Pro Patria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Brescia66%fair 1.50 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.60
Pro Patria14%fair 7.31 · @9.00
2.76Expected goals
1.95Union Brescia xG
0.81Pro Patria xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Union Brescia 1.9 – 0.8 Pro Patria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Brescia
Pro Patria
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+45%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.16
1.01
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Brescia to win✓
66%
1.50
1.30
Double chance
Union Brescia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Union Brescia (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Union Brescia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Union Brescia to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Union Brescia ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Union Brescia – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pro Patria – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Brescia and Pro Patria.
What is the prediction for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
On our numbers Union Brescia have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pro Patria 14%.
How many goals will there be in Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Our predicted score is Union Brescia 2–0 Pro Patria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
