Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novara travel to face Arzignano Valchiampo on Friday 27 February in the Serie C Girone A, with Tommaso Dal Molin the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Novara are 14th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arzignano Valchiampo 1.3 xG, Novara 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arzignano Valchiampo 40%, draw 28%, Novara 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arzignano Valchiampo40%fair 2.53 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.85
Novara33%fair 3.07 · @2.70
2.36Expected goals
1.35Arzignano Valchiampo xG
1.01Novara xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.3 – 1.0 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arzignano Valchiampo
Novara
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+13%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.53
0.89
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arzignano Valchiampo to win✗
40%
2.53
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Arzignano Valchiampo (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Novara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Arzignano Valchiampo to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arzignano Valchiampo / FT Arzignano Valchiampo✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Arzignano Valchiampo – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Ospitaletto
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Albinoleffe
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Novara – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Triestina
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara.
What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Novara 33%.
How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina0