Pergolettese vs Triestina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pergolettese welcome Triestina to Giuseppe Voltini for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Friday 27 February (20:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 1.4 xG, Triestina 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 44%, draw 28%, Triestina 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 1–1 Triestina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pergolettese44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.88
Triestina29%fair 3.50 · @3.10
2.44Expected goals
1.40Pergolettese xG
1.04Triestina xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–09%
From our goals model: Pergolettese 1.4 – 1.0 Triestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pergolettese
Triestina
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-2%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.08
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pergolettese to win✓
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.90
Draw no bet
Pergolettese (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Triestina +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Pergolettese to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pergolettese / FT Pergolettese✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Pergolettese – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs Union Brescia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Triestina – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Novara
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pergolettese and Triestina.
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Triestina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Triestina?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Triestina 29%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Triestina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Triestina?
Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–1 Triestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pergolettese vs Triestina?
Pergolettese vs Triestina (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
