Pro Patria vs Lecco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Serie C Girone A brings Pro Patria against Lecco at Carlo Speroni. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.
Current form
Pro Patria, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lumezzane, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Lecco, last 4: DLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Novara, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lecco, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Pro Patria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pro Patria 1.0 xG, Lecco 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pro Patria 25%, draw 26%, Lecco 50%.
Lower-risk option: Lecco or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pro Patria 0–1 Lecco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pro Patria25%fair 4.04 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.95
Lecco50%fair 2.02 · @2.05
2.56Expected goals
0.96Pro Patria xG
1.60Lecco xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Pro Patria 1.0 – 1.6 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pro Patria
Lecco
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+4%
+35%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-24%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.93
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✓
50%
2.02
2.05
Double chance
Lecco or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Lecco (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Pro Patria +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Lecco to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Pro Patria – last 4
LDLL
15 Mar
@ Lumezzane
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Ospitaletto
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Union Brescia
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Lecco – last 4
DLDD
15 Mar
vs Novara
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Renate
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Virtus Verona
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Lecco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Lecco?
On our numbers Pro Patria have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lecco 50%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Lecco?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Pro Patria 0–1 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pro Patria vs Lecco?
Pro Patria vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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