Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNovara to win ✗47% · @1.83
Double chanceNovara or draw ✗74% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.62
Novara vs Lumezzane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Serie C Girone A brings Novara against Lumezzane at Stadio Silvio Piola. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Novara are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Lumezzane are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Novara, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Alcione, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Lumezzane, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Albinoleffe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novara 1.2 xG, Lumezzane 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novara 47%, draw 27%, Lumezzane 26%.
Lower-risk option: Novara or draw (74%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novara 1–1 Lumezzane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novara47%fair 2.14 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
Lumezzane26%fair 3.82 · @3.90
2.20Expected goals
1.19Novara xG
1.01Lumezzane xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Novara 1.2 – 1.0 Lumezzane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Novara
Lumezzane
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-21%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-2%
Our expected goals here
0.99
1.15
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novara to win✗
47%
2.14
1.83
Double chance
Novara or draw✗
74%
1.35
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Novara (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Lumezzane +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Novara to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novara / FT Novara✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.62
–
Recent results
Novara – last 6
WDWDWW
22 Mar
vs Alcione
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Lecco
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Triestina
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lumezzane – last 5
DWLWW
28 Mar
vs Albinoleffe
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Pro Patria
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novara and Lumezzane.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Novara vs Lumezzane?
On our numbers Novara have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lumezzane 26%.
How many goals will there be in Novara vs Lumezzane?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novara vs Lumezzane?
Our predicted score is Novara 1–1 Lumezzane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Novara vs Lumezzane?
Novara vs Lumezzane (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vicenza Virtus0