Union Brescia 47%Draw 28%Cittadella 25%Expected goals 1.21 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓47% · @1.85
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.47
Union Brescia vs Cittadella: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Serie C Girone A brings Union Brescia against Cittadella at Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Union Brescia are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Cittadella are 1st (leading the league) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Brescia, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vicenza Virtus, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cittadella, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lecco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cittadella, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Union Brescia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Brescia 1.2 xG, Cittadella 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Brescia 47%, draw 28%, Cittadella 25%.
Lower-risk option: Union Brescia or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Brescia 1–0 Cittadella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Brescia47%fair 2.15 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.10
Cittadella25%fair 3.99 · @3.90
2.18Expected goals
1.21Union Brescia xG
0.97Cittadella xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Brescia 1.2 – 1.0 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Brescia
Cittadella
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+45%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-45%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.07
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Brescia to win✓
47%
2.15
1.85
Double chance
Union Brescia or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Union Brescia (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Cittadella +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Union Brescia to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
Union Brescia – last 5
DDLWL
29 Mar
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Alcione
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Albinoleffe
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Pro Patria
3–2
W
16 Feb
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Cittadella – last 6
WLWDDW
29 Mar
vs Lecco
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Inter U23
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Ospitaletto
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Renate
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Brescia and Cittadella.
What is the prediction for Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
On our numbers Union Brescia have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cittadella 25%.
How many goals will there be in Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Our predicted score is Union Brescia 1–0 Cittadella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Union Brescia vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vicenza Virtus0