Albinoleffe v Pergolettese Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlbinoleffe to win ✓43% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51

Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Monday 6 April: Albinoleffe v Pergolettese in the Serie C Girone A, played at AlbinoLeffe. In the table, Albinoleffe are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Pergolettese are 10th (upper half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Albinoleffe, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lumezzane, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Pergolettese, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over PRO Vercelli, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Pergolettese, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Albinoleffe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albinoleffe 1.4 xG, Pergolettese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Albinoleffe 43%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albinoleffe 1–1 Pergolettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albinoleffe43%fair 2.31 · @2.20

Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.00

Pergolettese30%fair 3.34 · @3.20

2.49Expected goals

1.37Albinoleffe xG

1.13Pergolettese xG

56%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–19%

2–19%

0–08%

2–08%

From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.4 – 1.1 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Albinoleffe	Pergolettese
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average	+22%	-2%
Goals conceded vs average	+5%	-6%
Our expected goals here	1.47	1.28

Albinoleffe

Pergolettese

Attack vs Serie C Girone A average

+22%

-2%

Goals conceded vs average

+5%

-6%

Our expected goals here

1.47

1.28

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Albinoleffe to win ✓	43%	2.31	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Albinoleffe (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.69	–
Asian handicap	Pergolettese +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.71	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Albinoleffe to score first ✓	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe ✓	25%	4.06	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.51	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Albinoleffe to win ✓

43%

2.31

2.20

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

73%

1.37

1.30

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

56%

1.79

2.00 ▲

Draw no bet

Albinoleffe (draw no bet) ✓

59%

1.69

–

Asian handicap

Pergolettese +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

75%

1.34

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

67%

1.49

1.48

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

58%

1.71

1.50

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

78%

1.28

1.17

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

89%

1.12

–

First team to score

Albinoleffe to score first ✓

50%

1.99

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

44%

2.27

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe ✓

25%

4.06

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

11.51

–

Recent results

Head to head

Serie C Girone A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?

On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pergolettese 30%.

How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?

Our predicted score is Albinoleffe 1–1 Pergolettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?

Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

28 Mar	@ Lumezzane	1–1	D
20 Mar	@ Virtus Verona	3–1	W
3 Mar	vs Union Brescia	1–0	W
22 Feb	@ Lecco	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Arzignano Valchiampo	2–0	W

3 Mar	vs PRO Vercelli	2–1	W
27 Feb	vs Triestina	2–0	W
16 Feb	vs Union Brescia	2–1	W

Albinoleffe v Pergolettese: numbers & prediction

Albinoleffe

Pergolettese

Over 1.5 goals

Picks by market

Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Albinoleffe – last 5

Pergolettese – last 3

Head to head

Serie C Girone A table

More Serie C Girone A predictions

Frequently asked questions