Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTriestina to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Pro Patria vs Triestina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the Serie C Girone A brings Pro Patria against Triestina at Carlo Speroni. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT.
Current form
Pro Patria, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lecco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Triestina, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Trento, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pro Patria 1.4 xG, Triestina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pro Patria 35%, draw 27%, Triestina 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pro Patria 1–1 Triestina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pro Patria35%fair 2.82 · @2.95
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.90
Triestina38%fair 2.66 · @2.40
2.64Expected goals
1.36Pro Patria xG
1.29Triestina xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pro Patria 1.4 – 1.3 Triestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pro Patria
Triestina
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+4%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.59
1.32
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triestina to win✗
38%
2.66
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Triestina (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Triestina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Pro Patria to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Patria / FT Pro Patria✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Pro Patria – last 5
LLDLL
22 Mar
vs Lecco
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Lumezzane
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Ospitaletto
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Union Brescia
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
0.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Triestina – last 5
DLLLL
20 Mar
@ Trento
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs PRO Vercelli
2–3
L
3 Mar
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Pergolettese
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Novara
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Triestina.
What is the prediction for Pro Patria vs Triestina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Triestina?
On our numbers Pro Patria have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Triestina 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Triestina?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Triestina?
Our predicted score is Pro Patria 1–1 Triestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pro Patria vs Triestina?
Pro Patria vs Triestina (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Giana Erminio1
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Virtus Verona0
Ospitaletto0
Albinoleffe3
Pergolettese0