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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Albinoleffe v Triestina: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone A · Italy · AlbinoLeffe

Albinoleffe

WDWWD
3–0
FT

Triestina

DDLLL
Albinoleffe 53%Draw 24%Triestina 23% Expected goals 1.70 – 1.05
77%
Betarazi pick

Albinoleffe or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlbinoleffe to win ✓53% · @1.95
Double chanceAlbinoleffe or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Albinoleffe vs Triestina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Albinoleffe v Triestina in the Serie C Girone A, played at AlbinoLeffe.

Current form

Albinoleffe, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pergolettese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Triestina, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pro Patria, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Albinoleffe, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Triestina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albinoleffe 1.7 xG, Triestina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Albinoleffe 53%, draw 24%, Triestina 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Albinoleffe or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Albinoleffe or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albinoleffe 1–1 Triestina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albinoleffe53%fair 1.88 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Triestina23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
2.75Expected goals
1.70Albinoleffe xG
1.05Triestina xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%

From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.7 – 1.1 Triestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AlbinoleffeTriestina
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average+22%-8%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+19%
Our expected goals here1.871.20

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbinoleffe to win ✓53%1.881.95
Double chanceAlbinoleffe or draw ✓77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.83 ▲
Draw no betAlbinoleffe (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapTriestina +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreAlbinoleffe to score first ✓58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe ✗32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Albinoleffe – last 6

WDWWDW
6 Aprvs Pergolettese3–0W
28 Mar@ Lumezzane1–1D
20 Mar@ Virtus Verona3–1W
3 Marvs Union Brescia1–0W
22 Feb@ Lecco0–0D
15 Febvs Arzignano Valchiampo2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Triestina – last 6

DDLLLL
6 Apr@ Pro Patria1–1D
20 Mar@ Trento2–2D
15 Marvs PRO Vercelli2–3L
3 Marvs Dolomiti Bellunesi2–3L
27 Feb@ Pergolettese0–2L
15 Febvs Novara0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Albinoleffe and Triestina.

Albinoleffe vs Triestina head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella131012+1331
2Union Brescia13841+1528
3Trento13760+1227
4Ospitaletto13643+822
5Treviso13643+522
6Arzignano Valchiampo13634+421
7Lecco13553+1120
8Alcione13463+218
9Albinoleffe13454+117
10Pergolettese13454-117
11Lumezzane13445-316
12PRO Vercelli13445-716
13Desenzano Calvina13346-513
14Novara13346-713
15Athletic Carpi13346-1013
16Giana Erminio13265-412
17Renate13256-111
18Juventus U2313256-1111
19Dolomiti Bellunesi13247-1210
20Folgore Caratese13157-108

More Serie C Girone A predictions

League hub
– Lecco Lumezzane 157%1.68X24%3.40219%4.75 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25
FT Vicenza Virtus0 Pergolettese0 159%1.25X24%4.75218%11.00 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Pro Patria2 Arzignano Valchiampo3 129%3.10X26%3.10245%2.20 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.42 ✓
FT Giana Erminio2 Inter U230 136%2.55X28%3.00236%2.70 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Virtus Verona1 Alcione1 136%2.60X27%3.00237%2.60 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT PRO Vercelli1 Ospitaletto0 134%2.15X26%3.10240%3.25 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Novara0 Cittadella1 130%2.40X27%3.10243%2.75 0.8–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Trento3 Renate3 153%1.90X26%3.35220%3.65 1.6–0.9xG 1XTrento or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

Our pick is Albinoleffe or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Triestina 23%.

How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

Our predicted score is Albinoleffe 1–1 Triestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

Albinoleffe vs Triestina (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.