Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sambenedettese travel to face Guidonia Montecelio 1937 on Sunday 8 March in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Citta dell Aria the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Sambenedettese are 17th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Guidonia Montecelio 1937, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Torres, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.3 xG, Sambenedettese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guidonia Montecelio 1937 44%, draw 27%, Sambenedettese 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Sambenedettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guidonia Montecelio 193744%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.95
Sambenedettese29%fair 3.39 · @3.20
2.27Expected goals
1.28Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
1.00Sambenedettese xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.3 – 1.0 Sambenedettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Sambenedettese
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-4%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.52
1.19
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win✗
44%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Sambenedettese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 4
LLDD
4 Mar
@ Torres
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Gubbio
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Pianese
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Forli
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sambenedettese – last 2
LL
4 Mar
vs Ascoli
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torres
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Sambenedettese.
What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
On our numbers Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sambenedettese 29%.
How many goals will there be in Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
Our predicted score is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Sambenedettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta dell Aria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U231
Athletic Carpi1
Ternana0