Value bet: Livorno to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultForli to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Forli vs Livorno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Livorno travel to face Forli on Sunday 8 March in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Tullo Morgagni the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Forli are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Livorno are 8th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Forli, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Pineto, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Livorno, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Perugia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Livorno, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Forli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forli 1.3 xG, Livorno 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forli 41%, draw 26%, Livorno 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Livorno to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forli 1–1 Livorno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forli41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Livorno34%fair 2.97 · @3.30
2.65Expected goals
1.34Forli xG
1.31Livorno xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Forli 1.3 – 1.3 Livorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Forli
Livorno
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-6%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.45
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forli to win✗
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Forli (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Livorno +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Forli to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forli / FT Forli✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Forli – last 3
LLD
4 Mar
@ Pineto
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Ternana
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Livorno – last 3
LWL
4 Mar
vs Perugia
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Pineto
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Pianese
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forli and Livorno.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Forli vs Livorno?
On our numbers Forli have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Livorno 34%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Livorno?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Livorno?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–1 Livorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Livorno?
Forli vs Livorno (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U231
Athletic Carpi1
Ternana0