14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Gubbio v Ascoli in the Serie C Girone B, played at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Current form
Gubbio, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Athletic Carpi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Ascoli, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ravenna, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ascoli, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Gubbio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gubbio 0.7 xG, Ascoli 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gubbio 18%, draw 28%, Ascoli 54%.
Lower-risk option: Ascoli or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gubbio 1–1 Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gubbio18%fair 5.61 · @4.40
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.80
Ascoli54%fair 1.85 · @1.85
2.19Expected goals
0.72Gubbio xG
1.47Ascoli xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Gubbio 0.7 – 1.5 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gubbio
Ascoli
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-34%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.78
1.58
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Double chance
Ascoli or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Ascoli (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Gubbio +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ascoli to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✓
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Gubbio – last 4
WWLD
4 Mar
vs Athletic Carpi
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Arezzo
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Pontedera
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 4
WWWW
9 Mar
vs Ravenna
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Sambenedettese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Pontedera
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Bra
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Ascoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Gubbio vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ascoli 54%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 1–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Ascoli?
Gubbio vs Ascoli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U232
Arezzo1