Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArezzo to win ✗54% · @1.60
Double chanceArezzo or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Arezzo vs Perugia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Serie C Girone B brings Arezzo against Perugia at Citta di Arezzo. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Arezzo, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Campobasso FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Perugia, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pontedera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Perugia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Arezzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arezzo 1.6 xG, Perugia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arezzo 54%, draw 27%, Perugia 19%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arezzo to win (54%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arezzo 1–0 Perugia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arezzo54%fair 1.84 · @1.60
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Perugia19%fair 5.33 · @5.50
2.58Expected goals
1.61Arezzo xG
0.96Perugia xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.6 – 1.0 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arezzo
Perugia
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
+5%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.16
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arezzo to win✗
54%
1.84
1.60
Double chance
Arezzo or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Arezzo (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Perugia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Arezzo to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arezzo / FT Arezzo✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Arezzo – last 4
WLDW
9 Mar
@ Campobasso FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Ternana
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Ravenna
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Gubbio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Perugia – last 3
WWD
9 Mar
vs Pontedera
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Livorno
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Athletic Carpi
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Perugia.
Our pick is Arezzo to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Arezzo vs Perugia?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Perugia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Perugia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Perugia?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–0 Perugia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Perugia?
Arezzo vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Citta di Arezzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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