Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCrotone to win ✓57% · @1.40
Double chanceCrotone or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Crotone vs Foggia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crotone welcome Foggia to Stadio Ezio Scida for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Sunday 22 February (17:30 WAT). In the table, Crotone are 20th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Foggia are 16th (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crotone 1.5 xG, Foggia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crotone 57%, draw 25%, Foggia 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crotone 1–0 Foggia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crotone57%fair 1.76 · @1.40
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @4.00
Foggia18%fair 5.58 · @7.75
2.44Expected goals
1.50Crotone xG
0.94Foggia xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.5 – 0.9 Foggia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crotone to win✓
57%
1.76
1.40
Double chance
Crotone or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Crotone (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Foggia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Crotone to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crotone / FT Crotone✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Crotone
No recent results on record.
Foggia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crotone and Foggia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Crotone vs Foggia?
On our numbers Crotone have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Foggia 18%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Foggia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Foggia?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–0 Foggia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Foggia?
Crotone vs Foggia (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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