Catania vs Giugliano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Catania v Giugliano in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Angelo Massimino. In the table, Catania are 3rd, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Giugliano are 13th (lower half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Catania 2.1 xG, Giugliano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Catania 69%, draw 20%, Giugliano 11%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catania 2–0 Giugliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Catania69%fair 1.44 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @4.40
Giugliano11%fair 9.06 · @9.50
2.88Expected goals
2.12Catania xG
0.76Giugliano xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Catania 2.1 – 0.8 Giugliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catania to win✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Double chance
Catania or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Catania (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Catania -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Catania to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Catania ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catania / FT Catania✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Catania – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs Trapani 1905
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Giugliano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catania and Giugliano.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Catania vs Giugliano?
On our numbers Catania have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Giugliano 11%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs Giugliano?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catania vs Giugliano?
Our predicted score is Catania 2–0 Giugliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Catania vs Giugliano?
Catania vs Giugliano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.