Value bet: Potenza to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPotenza to win ✓46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Foggia vs Potenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Foggia welcome Potenza to Stadio Pino Zaccheria for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Sunday 8 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Foggia are 16th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Potenza are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Potenza, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Cosenza, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Foggia 1.2 xG, Potenza 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Foggia 31%, draw 23%, Potenza 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Potenza to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Foggia 1–1 Potenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Foggia31%fair 3.25 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.35
Potenza46%fair 2.19 · @2.40
2.89Expected goals
1.20Foggia xG
1.69Potenza xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Foggia 1.2 – 1.7 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Potenza to win✓
46%
2.19
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Potenza (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Foggia +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Potenza to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Potenza / FT Potenza✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Foggia – last 2
LL
5 Mar
@ Team Altamura
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Crotone
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Potenza – last 4
LLWW
5 Mar
vs Cosenza
1–4
L
1 Mar
vs Benevento
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Latina
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Team Altamura
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Foggia and Potenza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Foggia vs Potenza?
On our numbers Foggia have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Potenza 46%.
How many goals will there be in Foggia vs Potenza?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Foggia vs Potenza?
Our predicted score is Foggia 1–1 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Foggia vs Potenza?
Foggia vs Potenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pino Zaccheria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Siracusa2
Latina1
Trapani 19051
Benevento2