Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCavese to win50% · @1.85
Double chanceCavese or draw75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.84
Cavese vs AZ Picerno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AZ Picerno travel to face Cavese on Sunday 8 March in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Simonetta Lamberti the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Cavese are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; AZ Picerno are 10th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cavese 1.6 xG, AZ Picerno 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cavese 50%, draw 25%, AZ Picerno 25%.
Lower-risk option: Cavese or draw (75%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cavese 1–1 AZ Picerno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cavese50%fair 2.02 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
AZ Picerno25%fair 3.97 · @4.10
2.75Expected goals
1.55Cavese xG
1.20AZ Picerno xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cavese 1.6 – 1.2 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cavese to win
50%
2.02
1.85
Double chance
Cavese or draw
75%
1.34
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Cavese (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
AZ Picerno +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Cavese to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cavese / FT Cavese
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Cavese – last 2
LL
5 Mar
@ Crotone
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Trapani 1905
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
AZ Picerno – last 1
D
5 Mar
vs Atalanta II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cavese and AZ Picerno.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Cavese vs AZ Picerno?
On our numbers Cavese have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AZ Picerno 25%.
How many goals will there be in Cavese vs AZ Picerno?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cavese vs AZ Picerno?
Our predicted score is Cavese 1–1 AZ Picerno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cavese vs AZ Picerno?
Cavese vs AZ Picerno (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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