Giugliano v Crotone Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCrotone to win ✗44% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Giugliano vs Crotone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Giugliano welcome Crotone to Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Monday 6 April (11:30 WAT). In the table, Giugliano are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Crotone are 20th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Giugliano, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Casarano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Crotone, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Audace Cerignola, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Crotone, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Giugliano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Giugliano 1.2 xG, Crotone 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Giugliano 30%, draw 26%, Crotone 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Giugliano to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Giugliano 1–1 Crotone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Giugliano30%fair 3.30 · @3.65

Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10

Crotone44%fair 2.30 · @2.00

2.65Expected goals

1.25Giugliano xG

1.40Crotone xG

59%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–09%

1–29%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Giugliano 1.2 – 1.4 Crotone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Crotone to win ✗	44%	2.30	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.68	1.70
Draw no bet	Crotone (draw no bet) ✗	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Giugliano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Crotone to score first ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Crotone / FT Crotone ✗	24%	4.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.53	–

Giugliano – last 6

LLLWDL

29 Mar	@ Casarano	0–2	L
22 Mar	@ Audace Cerignola	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Siracusa	1–2	L
5 Mar	vs SS Monopoli	2–0	W
1 Mar	vs Latina	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Catania	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Crotone – last 6

WDLWWD

29 Mar	vs Audace Cerignola	3–1	W
22 Mar	@ Sorrento	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs Salernitana	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Trapani 1905	4–1	W
5 Mar	vs Cavese	2–0	W
1 Mar	@ SS Monopoli	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	13	10	2	1	+17	32
2	Bari	13	6	5	2	+7	23
3	Catania	13	7	1	5	+13	22
4	Scafatese	13	5	6	2	+5	21
5	Audace Cerignola	13	6	2	5	+5	20
6	SS Monopoli	13	5	5	3	+4	20
7	Inter U23	13	6	2	5	+2	20
8	Casertana	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Sorrento	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	AZ Picerno	13	6	1	6	+3	19
11	Cavese	13	4	4	5	+1	16
12	Team Altamura	13	4	4	5	-6	16
13	Giugliano	13	5	1	7	-12	16
14	Salernitana	13	3	6	4	-2	15
15	Barletta	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Foggia	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Casarano	13	4	3	6	-6	15
18	Savoia	13	2	6	5	-7	12
19	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	Crotone	13	1	4	8	-9	1

Team

Pts

+17

+13

-6

-12

-2

-2

-3

-6

-7

-13

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Giugliano vs Crotone?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Giugliano vs Crotone?

On our numbers Giugliano have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Crotone 44%.

How many goals will there be in Giugliano vs Crotone?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Giugliano vs Crotone?

Our predicted score is Giugliano 1–1 Crotone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Giugliano vs Crotone?

Giugliano vs Crotone (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Giugliano v Crotone: numbers & prediction