Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCasarano to win ✓49% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.81
Casarano vs Potenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Potenza travel to face Casarano on Monday 6 April in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Giuseppe Capozza the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Casarano are 17th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Potenza are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Casarano, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Giugliano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Potenza, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Latina, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Casarano 1.6 xG, Potenza 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Casarano 49%, draw 23%, Potenza 28%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casarano 1–1 Potenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Casarano49%fair 2.06 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.50
Potenza28%fair 3.52 · @5.10
3.15Expected goals
1.60Casarano xG
1.56Potenza xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Casarano 1.6 – 1.6 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casarano to win✓
49%
2.06
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Casarano (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Potenza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Casarano to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casarano / FT Casarano✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Casarano – last 5
WDLDL
29 Mar
vs Giugliano
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Catania
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ SS Monopoli
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Siracusa
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Audace Cerignola
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Potenza – last 6
LLWWLL
1 Apr
@ Latina
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Trapani 1905
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Latina
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Foggia
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Cosenza
1–4
L
1 Mar
vs Benevento
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casarano and Potenza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Casarano vs Potenza?
On our numbers Casarano have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Potenza 28%.
How many goals will there be in Casarano vs Potenza?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casarano vs Potenza?
Our predicted score is Casarano 1–1 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Casarano vs Potenza?
Casarano vs Potenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Benevento1
Latina1