Value bet: Şanlıurfaspor to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultŞanlıurfaspor to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the 2. Lig brings Muğlaspor against Şanlıurfaspor at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Muğlaspor, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Karaman FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Şanlıurfaspor, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Kastamonuspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muğlaspor 1.3 xG, Şanlıurfaspor 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muğlaspor 35%, draw 26%, Şanlıurfaspor 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Şanlıurfaspor to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muğlaspor 1–1 Şanlıurfaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muğlaspor35%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.00
Şanlıurfaspor39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.77Expected goals
1.29Muğlaspor xG
1.48Şanlıurfaspor xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Muğlaspor 1.3 – 1.5 Şanlıurfaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Şanlıurfaspor to win✗
39%
2.56
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Şanlıurfaspor (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Muğlaspor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Şanlıurfaspor to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Şanlıurfaspor / FT Şanlıurfaspor✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Muğlaspor – last 6
WLLLDW
12 Apr
@ Karaman FK
4–0
W
8 Apr
vs Karacabey Belediyespor
0–3
L
4 Apr
@ Batman Petrolspor
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Altınordu
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Ankaragücü
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Şanlıurfaspor – last 6
WWDLDL
12 Apr
vs Kastamonuspor
5–2
W
4 Apr
@ Karaman FK
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Karacabey Belediyespor
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Batman Petrolspor
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Altınordu
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muğlaspor and Şanlıurfaspor.
What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Şanlıurfaspor 39%.
How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 1–1 Şanlıurfaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.