Bursaspor v Somaspor Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBursaspor to win ✓79% · @1.08

Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04

Bursaspor vs Somaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the 2. Lig brings Bursaspor against Somaspor at Timsah Park. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Bursaspor, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ankara Demirspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Somaspor, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with 68 Aksaray Belediyespor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bursaspor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Somaspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bursaspor 2.5 xG, Somaspor 0.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bursaspor 79%, draw 15%, Somaspor 5%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bursaspor 2–1 Somaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bursaspor79%fair 1.26 · @1.08

Draw15%fair 6.53 · @8.50

Somaspor5%fair 18.73 · @29.00

3.05Expected goals

2.48Bursaspor xG

0.57Somaspor xG

52%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%

3–012%

1–012%

2–18%

4–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Bursaspor 2.5 – 0.6 Somaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bursaspor to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.08
Double chance	Bursaspor or draw ✓	95%	1.06	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.92	2.15 ▲
Draw no bet	Bursaspor (draw no bet) ✓	94%	1.07	–
Asian handicap	Bursaspor -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	Bursaspor to score first ✓	77%	1.29	–
Half-time result	Bursaspor ahead at half-time ✓	58%	1.73	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor ✓	55%	1.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.04	–

Bursaspor – last 6

WDWDWW

12 Apr	@ Ankara Demirspor	1–0	W
28 Mar	@ Fethiyespor	1–1	D
24 Mar	vs Belediye Derincespor	2–0	W
14 Mar	@ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	0–0	D
8 Mar	@ Muş Menderesspor	1–0	W
28 Feb	vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor	6–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Somaspor – last 6

DWLWDL

12 Apr	vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor	0–0	D
28 Mar	vs Kırklarelispor	2–0	W
24 Mar	@ Isparta 32 Spor	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Adanaspor	5–0	W
8 Mar	@ Arnavutköy Belediyespor	0–0	D
22 Feb	@ Hekimoğlu Trabzon	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elazığspor	10	8	1	1	+21	25
2	Güzide Gebzespor	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Muş Sport Klübü	10	7	2	1	+16	23
4	Aliağa FAŞ	10	7	1	2	+5	22
5	Çorluspor 1947	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	10	6	1	3	+5	19
7	Şanlıurfaspor	10	5	3	2	+8	18
8	Erbaaspor	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Menemen FK	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Sebat Gençlikspor	10	3	3	4	+5	12
11	Ankaraspor	10	4	0	6	-4	12
12	Isparta 32 Spor	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Somaspor	10	3	2	5	-7	11
14	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	10	2	3	5	0	9
15	Kastamonuspor	10	2	1	7	-25	4
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	10	0	1	9	-17	0
17	Hatayspor	10	1	1	8	-14	0
18	Adana Demirspor	10	2	1	7	-13	0

Team

Pts

+21

+10

+16

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

-4

-5

-7

68 Aksaray Belediyespor

Kastamonuspor

-25

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

-17

Hatayspor

-14

Adana Demirspor

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bursaspor vs Somaspor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Bursaspor vs Somaspor?

On our numbers Bursaspor have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Somaspor 5%.

How many goals will there be in Bursaspor vs Somaspor?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs Somaspor?

Our predicted score is Bursaspor 2–1 Somaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Bursaspor vs Somaspor?

Bursaspor vs Somaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Timsah Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bursaspor v Somaspor: numbers & prediction

Bursaspor