Mineros de Fresnillo 38%Draw 25%Tecos 37%Expected goals 1.61 – 1.29
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Mineros de Fresnillo to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMineros de Fresnillo to win38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.87
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Liga Premier Serie A brings Mineros de Fresnillo against Tecos at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Fresnillo 1.6 xG, Tecos 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Fresnillo 38%, draw 25%, Tecos 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Mineros de Fresnillo to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Fresnillo 1–1 Tecos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Fresnillo38%fair 2.63 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Tecos37%fair 2.68 · @2.05
2.91Expected goals
1.61Mineros de Fresnillo xG
1.29Tecos xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mineros de Fresnillo 1.6 – 1.3 Tecos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Fresnillo to win
38%
2.63
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.45
Draw no bet
Mineros de Fresnillo (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Tecos +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Mineros de Fresnillo to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Fresnillo / FT Mineros de Fresnillo
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Mineros de Fresnillo
No recent results on record.
Tecos
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Fresnillo and Tecos.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos?
On our numbers Mineros de Fresnillo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tecos 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Fresnillo 1–1 Tecos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos?
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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