Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Zitacuaro to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultZitacuaro to win58% · @1.91
Double chanceZitacuaro or draw79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.53
Ciervos vs Zitacuaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Liga Premier Serie A brings Ciervos against Zitacuaro at Estadio Arreola. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ciervos 0.8 xG, Zitacuaro 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ciervos 21%, draw 21%, Zitacuaro 58%.
Lower-risk option: Zitacuaro or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Zitacuaro to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zitacuaro or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciervos 0–1 Zitacuaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ciervos21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.30
Zitacuaro58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
0.84Ciervos xG
1.65Zitacuaro xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–111%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Ciervos 0.8 – 1.7 Zitacuaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zitacuaro to win
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Zitacuaro or draw
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.73
Draw no bet
Zitacuaro (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Ciervos +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Zitacuaro to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zitacuaro / FT Zitacuaro
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Ciervos
No recent results on record.
Zitacuaro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciervos and Zitacuaro.
Our pick is Zitacuaro or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
On our numbers Ciervos have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zitacuaro 58%.
How many goals will there be in Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
Our predicted score is Ciervos 0–1 Zitacuaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
Ciervos vs Zitacuaro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arreola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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