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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigres de Alica v Cimarrones: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Arena Cora
Tigres de Alica 37%Draw 25%Cimarrones 37% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.30
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Tigres de Alica to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTigres de Alica to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Liga Premier Serie A brings Tigres de Alica against Cimarrones at Estadio Arena Cora. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigres de Alica 1.4 xG, Cimarrones 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres de Alica 37%, draw 25%, Cimarrones 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Tigres de Alica to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres de Alica 1–1 Cimarrones. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigres de Alica37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
Cimarrones37%fair 2.69 · @2.20
2.70Expected goals
1.40Tigres de Alica xG
1.30Cimarrones xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Tigres de Alica 1.4 – 1.3 Cimarrones expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigres de Alica to win ✗37%2.672.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.53
Draw no betTigres de Alica (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapCimarrones +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.22
First team to scoreTigres de Alica to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigres de Alica / FT Tigres de Alica ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

Tigres de Alica

No recent results on record.

Cimarrones – last 1

W
13 Febvs Tritons Vallarta1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tigres de Alica and Cimarrones.

Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones head-to-head page →

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?

On our numbers Tigres de Alica have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cimarrones 37%.

How many goals will there be in Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?

Our predicted score is Tigres de Alica 1–1 Cimarrones, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?

Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arena Cora.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.