Value bet: Lobos ULMX to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Apodaca to win ✗37% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.31
Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Lobos ULMX v Real Apodaca in the Liga Premier Serie A, played at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lobos ULMX 1.4 xG, Real Apodaca 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos ULMX 37%, draw 26%, Real Apodaca 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Lobos ULMX to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos ULMX 1–1 Real Apodaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lobos ULMX37%fair 2.73 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Real Apodaca37%fair 2.68 · @2.10
2.58Expected goals
1.38Lobos ULMX xG
1.20Real Apodaca xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lobos ULMX 1.4 – 1.2 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Apodaca to win✗
37%
2.68
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
Real Apodaca (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Real Apodaca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Lobos ULMX to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lobos ULMX / FT Lobos ULMX✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.31
–
Recent results
Lobos ULMX
No recent results on record.
Real Apodaca – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lobos ULMX and Real Apodaca.
What is the prediction for Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
On our numbers Lobos ULMX have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Apodaca 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
Our predicted score is Lobos ULMX 1–1 Real Apodaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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