Mineros de Fresnillo 33%Draw 26%Tigres de Alica 41%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.32
73%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultTigres de Alica to win41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.15
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mineros de Fresnillo welcome Tigres de Alica to Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 28 February (18:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Fresnillo 1.3 xG, Tigres de Alica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Fresnillo 33%, draw 26%, Tigres de Alica 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Fresnillo 1–1 Tigres de Alica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Fresnillo33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Tigres de Alica41%fair 2.42 · @2.05
2.64Expected goals
1.32Mineros de Fresnillo xG
1.32Tigres de Alica xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mineros de Fresnillo 1.3 – 1.3 Tigres de Alica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres de Alica to win
41%
2.42
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Tigres de Alica (draw no bet)
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Mineros de Fresnillo +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Tigres de Alica to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres de Alica / FT Tigres de Alica
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Mineros de Fresnillo
No recent results on record.
Tigres de Alica – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Cimarrones
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Fresnillo and Tigres de Alica.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica?
On our numbers Mineros de Fresnillo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigres de Alica 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Fresnillo 1–1 Tigres de Alica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica?
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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