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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ciervos v Correcaminos UAT II: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Arreola

Ciervos

L
Sat 28 Feb 2026

Correcaminos UAT II

W
Ciervos 12%Draw 20%Correcaminos UAT II 68% Expected goals 0.78 – 2.09
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.35

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCorrecaminos UAT II to win68% · @1.44
Double chanceCorrecaminos UAT II or draw88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.35

Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ciervos welcome Correcaminos UAT II to Estadio Arreola for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 28 February (22:30 WAT). In the table, Ciervos are 9th, upper half, on 5 points after 11 matches; Correcaminos UAT II are 5th (upper half) with 20. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ciervos 0.8 xG, Correcaminos UAT II 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ciervos 12%, draw 20%, Correcaminos UAT II 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciervos 0–2 Correcaminos UAT II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ciervos12%fair 8.22 · @7.20
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.75
Correcaminos UAT II68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
2.87Expected goals
0.78Ciervos xG
2.09Correcaminos UAT II xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%

From our goals model: Ciervos 0.8 – 2.1 Correcaminos UAT II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCorrecaminos UAT II to win68%1.471.44
Double chanceCorrecaminos UAT II or draw88%1.141.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.952.15 ▲
Draw no betCorrecaminos UAT II (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapCorrecaminos UAT II -0.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.361.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals50%2.002.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.411.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.20–
First team to scoreCorrecaminos UAT II to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultCorrecaminos UAT II ahead at half-time49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Correcaminos UAT II / FT Correcaminos UAT II44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.35–

Recent results

Ciervos – last 1

L
22 Feb@ Calor de San Pedro1–3L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Correcaminos UAT II – last 1

W
21 Febvs Gavilanes FC Matamoros1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ciervos and Correcaminos UAT II.

Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago11713+2024
2Acatlan11713+523
3La Tribu de Cd. Juarez11704+1822
4Mineros de Fresnillo11632+1122
5Correcaminos UAT II11623+420
6Vaqueros Reynosa11524+118
7Guerreros10424015
8Atlético Saltillo10406-711
9Real Apodaca11317-79
10Héroes de Zaci10019-262
1Dragones de Oaxaca11722+1625
2Artesanos Metepec11731+1425
3Acambaro11713+1723
4Delfines Coatzacoalcos11533+419
5Halcones Negros11515+417
6Guerreros del Pacifico11416+117
7Calor de San Pedro11416-716
8Real Refineros11515-515
9Ciervos11209-275
10Cañoneros Marina100010-360

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

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FT Cimarrones2 Los Cabos United0 163%1.40X21%5.00216%5.25 2.0–1.0xG 1Cimarrones to win 63%@1.40 ✓
– Mineros de Fresnillo Tigres de Alica 133%3.10X26%3.40241%2.05 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28
– Chilpancingo Cordobés 133%2.70X23%3.20244%2.40 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28
– Pioneros de Cancún Mexicali FC 165%1.60X22%3.70213%4.80 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25
– Zacatepec 1948 Zitacuaro 163%1.48X23%3.80214%5.75 1.6–0.6xG 1Zacatepec 1948 to win 63%@1.48
– Inter Playa del Carmen Tapachula 154%1.68X23%3.65223%4.33 1.9–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II?

On our numbers Ciervos have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Correcaminos UAT II 68%.

How many goals will there be in Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II?

Our predicted score is Ciervos 0–2 Correcaminos UAT II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II?

Ciervos vs Correcaminos UAT II (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arreola.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.