Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Lerumo Lions to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLerumo Lions to win ✗38% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Midlands Wanderers welcome Lerumo Lions to Harry Gwala Stadium for a 1st Division fixture on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Midlands Wanderers are 13th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Lerumo Lions are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Midlands Wanderers, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gomora United FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lerumo Lions, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leicesterfield, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Midlands Wanderers, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Lerumo Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Midlands Wanderers 1.0 xG, Lerumo Lions 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Midlands Wanderers 34%, draw 28%, Lerumo Lions 38%.
Price worth noting: Lerumo Lions to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Midlands Wanderers 0–1 Lerumo Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Midlands Wanderers34%fair 2.95 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.90
Lerumo Lions38%fair 2.60 · @3.20
2.28Expected goals
1.00Midlands Wanderers xG
1.28Lerumo Lions xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Midlands Wanderers 1.0 – 1.3 Lerumo Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lerumo Lions to win✗
38%
2.60
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Lerumo Lions (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Midlands Wanderers +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Lerumo Lions to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lerumo Lions / FT Lerumo Lions✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.63
–
Recent results
Midlands Wanderers – last 6
DLWWDL
6 May
@ Gomora United FC
1–1
D
1 May
@ Highbury
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Upington City
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Baroka FC
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Hungry Lions
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Cape Town City
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lerumo Lions – last 5
DLLLL
22 Apr
@ Leicesterfield
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Kruger United
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Upington City
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Cape Town City
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Venda FC
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Midlands Wanderers and Lerumo Lions.
What is the prediction for Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
On our numbers Midlands Wanderers have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lerumo Lions 38%.
How many goals will there be in Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Our predicted score is Midlands Wanderers 0–1 Lerumo Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Harry Gwala Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Milford FC2
Baroka FC0
Kruger United1