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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cape Town City v Baroka FC: numbers & prediction

1st Division · South-Africa · Athlone Stadium
1–0
FT
Cape Town City 62%Draw 22%Baroka FC 16% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.75
62%
Betarazi pick

Cape Town City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultCape Town City to win ✓62% · @1.40
Double chanceCape Town City or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.80

Cape Town City vs Baroka FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Cape Town City v Baroka FC in the 1st Division, played at Athlone Stadium.

Current form

Cape Town City, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gomora United FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Baroka FC, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Casric Stars, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cape Town City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.4 for Baroka FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cape Town City 1.7 xG, Baroka FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cape Town City 62%, draw 22%, Baroka FC 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cape Town City to win (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cape Town City 1–0 Baroka FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cape Town City62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.90
Baroka FC16%fair 6.38 · @7.00
2.45Expected goals
1.71Cape Town City xG
0.75Baroka FC xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Cape Town City 1.7 – 0.7 Baroka FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCape Town City to win ✓62%1.611.40
Double chanceCape Town City or draw ✓84%1.191.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.77–
Draw no betCape Town City (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapCape Town City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCape Town City to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cape Town City / FT Cape Town City ✓37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.80–

Recent results

Cape Town City – last 6

WLLDWW
3 Mayvs Gomora United FC4–0W
22 Apr@ Kruger United1–2L
13 Mar@ Highbury1–3L
10 Marvs Milford FC2–2D
1 Mar@ Lerumo Lions1–0W
15 Febvs Midlands Wanderers4–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Baroka FC – last 5

LDLDL
1 May@ Casric Stars0–2L
22 Aprvs Gomora United FC1–1D
7 Apr@ Midlands Wanderers1–2L
8 Mar@ Venda FC0–0D
1 Mar@ University of Pretoria0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cape Town City and Baroka FC.

Cape Town City vs Baroka FC head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cape Town City10631+721
2Magesi10631+721
3Lerumo Lions10622+820
4Casric Stars10622+520
5Hope FC10622+520
6Hungry Lions10442+516
7Upington City10442+316
8Highbury10433015
9NWU FC10352+114
10Gomora United FC10334-412
11Leicesterfield10316-710
12University of Pretoria10235-49
13Midlands Wanderers10226-48
14The Bees10217-67
15Orbit College10055-65
16Venda FC10037-103

More 1st Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?

Our pick is Cape Town City to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?

On our numbers Cape Town City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baroka FC 16%.

How many goals will there be in Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?

Our predicted score is Cape Town City 1–0 Baroka FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?

Cape Town City vs Baroka FC (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Athlone Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.