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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Katsina United v Nasarawa United: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Muhammadu Dikko Stadium
Katsina United 46%Draw 23%Nasarawa United 31% Expected goals 1.23 – 0.84
85%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultKatsina United to win ✓46% · fair 2.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.42

Katsina United vs Nasarawa United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Katsina United v Nasarawa United in the NPFL, played at Muhammadu Dikko Stadium. In the table, Katsina United are 9th, upper half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Nasarawa United are 5th (upper half) with 56.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Katsina United 1.2 xG, Nasarawa United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Katsina United 46%, draw 23%, Nasarawa United 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (85%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Katsina United 1–0 Nasarawa United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Katsina United46%fair 2.17
Draw23%fair 4.43
Nasarawa United31%fair 3.19
2.06Expected goals
1.23Katsina United xG
0.84Nasarawa United xG
42%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Katsina United 1.2 – 0.8 Nasarawa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Katsina UnitedNasarawa United
Attack vs NPFL average+4%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+12%-16%
Our expected goals here1.420.83

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKatsina United to win ✓46%2.17–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.29–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betKatsina United (draw no bet) ✓59%1.68–
Asian handicapNasarawa United +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreKatsina United to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Katsina United / FT Katsina United ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.42–

Recent results

Katsina United

No recent results on record.

Nasarawa United

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Katsina United and Nasarawa United.

Katsina United vs Nasarawa United head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance.

Who will win Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

On our numbers Katsina United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nasarawa United 31%.

How many goals will there be in Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

Our predicted score is Katsina United 1–0 Nasarawa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

Katsina United vs Nasarawa United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Muhammadu Dikko Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.