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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ikorodu City v Bayelsa United: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Mobolaji Johnson Arena
Ikorodu City 60%Draw 24%Bayelsa United 17% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.74
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultIkorodu City to win ✗60% · @1.42
Double chanceIkorodu City or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30

Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the NPFL brings Ikorodu City against Bayelsa United at Mobolaji Johnson Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ikorodu City are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 38 matches; Bayelsa United are 19th (in the drop zone) with 43. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ikorodu City 1.5 xG, Bayelsa United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 41%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ikorodu City 60%, draw 24%, Bayelsa United 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ikorodu City 1–0 Bayelsa United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ikorodu City60%fair 1.68 · @1.42
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Bayelsa United17%fair 6.02 · @7.50
2.27Expected goals
1.53Ikorodu City xG
0.74Bayelsa United xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Ikorodu City 1.5 – 0.7 Bayelsa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ikorodu CityBayelsa United
Attack vs NPFL average+16%+13%
Goals conceded vs average+11%-10%
Our expected goals here1.700.95

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIkorodu City to win ✗60%1.681.42
Double chanceIkorodu City or draw ✓83%1.201.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.71–
Draw no betIkorodu City (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapBayelsa United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreIkorodu City to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ikorodu City / FT Ikorodu City ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.30–

Recent results

Ikorodu City – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Enyimba1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Bayelsa United – last 1

D
15 Febvs Bendel Insurance0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ikorodu City and Bayelsa United.

Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United?

On our numbers Ikorodu City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bayelsa United 17%.

How many goals will there be in Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United?

Our predicted score is Ikorodu City 1–0 Bayelsa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United?

Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.