Nasarawa United 59%Draw 25%Bendel Insurance 16%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.68
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultNasarawa United to win ✓59% · @1.55
Double chanceNasarawa United or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.94
Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bendel Insurance travel to face Nasarawa United on Sunday 22 February in the NPFL, with Lafia Township Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Nasarawa United are 5th, upper half, on 56 points after 38 matches; Bendel Insurance are 7th (upper half) with 53. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nasarawa United 1.5 xG, Bendel Insurance 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nasarawa United 59%, draw 25%, Bendel Insurance 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nasarawa United 1–0 Bendel Insurance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nasarawa United59%fair 1.69 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Bendel Insurance16%fair 6.35 · @6.25
2.20Expected goals
1.52Nasarawa United xG
0.68Bendel Insurance xG
42%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Nasarawa United 1.5 – 0.7 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nasarawa United
Bendel Insurance
Attack vs NPFL average
-2%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.74
0.86
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasarawa United to win✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Double chance
Nasarawa United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Nasarawa United (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Bendel Insurance +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Nasarawa United to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasarawa United / FT Nasarawa United✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.94
–
Recent results
Nasarawa United – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Katsina United
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bendel Insurance – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Bayelsa United
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasarawa United and Bendel Insurance.
What is the prediction for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
On our numbers Nasarawa United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bendel Insurance 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our predicted score is Nasarawa United 1–0 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lafia Township Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
