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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Niger Tornadoes v Warri Wolves: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Kwara Sports Complex
Niger Tornadoes 58%Draw 29%Warri Wolves 13% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.50
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultNiger Tornadoes to win ✗58% · @1.44
Double chanceNiger Tornadoes or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.66

Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Niger Tornadoes welcome Warri Wolves to Kwara Sports Complex for a NPFL fixture on Sunday 1 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, Niger Tornadoes are 16th, lower half, on 48 points after 38 matches; Warri Wolves are 15th (lower half) with 49. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Niger Tornadoes 1.3 xG, Warri Wolves 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Niger Tornadoes 58%, draw 29%, Warri Wolves 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Warri Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Niger Tornadoes58%fair 1.72 · @1.44
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.60
Warri Wolves13%fair 7.68 · @7.00
1.79Expected goals
1.29Niger Tornadoes xG
0.50Warri Wolves xG
36%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: Niger Tornadoes 1.3 – 0.5 Warri Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
Attack vs NPFL average-26%-28%
Goals conceded vs average-26%-26%
Our expected goals here0.890.40

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNiger Tornadoes to win ✗58%1.721.44
Double chanceNiger Tornadoes or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓64%1.56–
Draw no betNiger Tornadoes (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapWarri Wolves +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗53%1.87–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreNiger Tornadoes to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Niger Tornadoes / FT Niger Tornadoes ✗33%3.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.66–

Recent results

Niger Tornadoes – last 1

L
22 Feb@ Kun Khalifat FC0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Warri Wolves – last 2

DL
21 Febvs Barau FC0–0D
15 Feb@ Shooting Stars2–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Niger Tornadoes and Warri Wolves.

Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?

On our numbers Niger Tornadoes have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Warri Wolves 13%.

How many goals will there be in Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?

Our predicted score is Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Warri Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?

Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kwara Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.