Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultNiger Tornadoes to win ✗58% · @1.44
Double chanceNiger Tornadoes or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.66
Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Niger Tornadoes welcome Warri Wolves to Kwara Sports Complex for a NPFL fixture on Sunday 1 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, Niger Tornadoes are 16th, lower half, on 48 points after 38 matches; Warri Wolves are 15th (lower half) with 49. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Niger Tornadoes 1.3 xG, Warri Wolves 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Niger Tornadoes 58%, draw 29%, Warri Wolves 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Warri Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Niger Tornadoes58%fair 1.72 · @1.44
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.60
Warri Wolves13%fair 7.68 · @7.00
1.79Expected goals
1.29Niger Tornadoes xG
0.50Warri Wolves xG
36%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Niger Tornadoes 1.3 – 0.5 Warri Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Niger Tornadoes
Warri Wolves
Attack vs NPFL average
-26%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-26%
Our expected goals here
0.89
0.40
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Niger Tornadoes to win✗
58%
1.72
1.44
Double chance
Niger Tornadoes or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
–
Draw no bet
Niger Tornadoes (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Warri Wolves +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Niger Tornadoes to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Niger Tornadoes / FT Niger Tornadoes✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.66
–
Recent results
Niger Tornadoes – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Warri Wolves – last 2
DL
21 Feb
vs Barau FC
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Shooting Stars
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Niger Tornadoes and Warri Wolves.
What is the prediction for Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?
On our numbers Niger Tornadoes have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Warri Wolves 13%.
How many goals will there be in Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?
Our predicted score is Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Warri Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?
Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kwara Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.