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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kwara United v Wikki Tourist: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Kwara Sports Stadium
Sun 1 Mar 2026
Kwara United 57%Draw 28%Wikki Tourist 15% Expected goals 1.47 – 0.65
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultKwara United to win57% · @1.75
Double chanceKwara United or draw85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.66

Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Kwara United v Wikki Tourist in the NPFL, played at Kwara Sports Stadium. In the table, Kwara United are 12th, lower half, on 50 points after 38 matches; Wikki Tourist are 20th (in the drop zone) with 40.

Current form

Kwara United, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Abia Warriors, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kwara United 1.5 xG, Wikki Tourist 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kwara United 57%, draw 28%, Wikki Tourist 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kwara United 2–0 Wikki Tourist. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kwara United57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.90
Wikki Tourist15%fair 6.46 · @4.80
2.12Expected goals
1.47Kwara United xG
0.65Wikki Tourist xG
40%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Kwara United 1.5 – 0.6 Wikki Tourist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Kwara UnitedWikki Tourist
Attack vs NPFL average-13%-2%
Goals conceded vs average-2%+15%
Our expected goals here1.630.73

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKwara United to win57%1.761.75
Double chanceKwara United or draw85%1.181.09
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score60%1.68–
Draw no betKwara United (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapWikki Tourist +1.5 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals59%1.681.60
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals94%1.07–
First team to scoreKwara United to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kwara United / FT Kwara United34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.66–

Recent results

Kwara United – last 3

LDD
22 Feb@ Abia Warriors0–1L
18 Febvs Rivers United1–1D
15 Febvs Kano Pillars1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Wikki Tourist – last 2

WL
21 Febvs Remo Stars2–1W
15 Feb@ Enugu Rangers0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kwara United and Wikki Tourist.

Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist?

On our numbers Kwara United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Wikki Tourist 15%.

How many goals will there be in Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist?

Our predicted score is Kwara United 2–0 Wikki Tourist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist?

Kwara United vs Wikki Tourist (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kwara Sports Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.