Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Montana vs Botev Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Friday 27 February: Montana v Botev Plovdiv in the First League, played at Ogosta Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montana 1.0 xG, Botev Plovdiv 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montana 25%, draw 24%, Botev Plovdiv 51%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montana 1–1 Botev Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montana25%fair 4.00 · @3.35
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Botev Plovdiv51%fair 1.96 · @2.10
2.71Expected goals
0.98Montana xG
1.73Botev Plovdiv xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Montana 1.0 – 1.7 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Botev Plovdiv (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Montana +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Botev Plovdiv to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Montana – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Botev Plovdiv – last 2
WL
23 Feb
vs Ludogorets
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montana and Botev Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Montana have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botev Plovdiv 51%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Montana 1–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
Montana vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
