Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✓59% · @1.40
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓83% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arda Kardzhali welcome Spartak Varna to Arena Arda for a First League fixture on Friday 27 February (11:45 WAT). In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 1.6 xG, Spartak Varna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 59%, draw 23%, Spartak Varna 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arda Kardzhali59%fair 1.68 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
Spartak Varna17%fair 5.75 · @8.20
2.60Expected goals
1.65Arda Kardzhali xG
0.95Spartak Varna xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.6 – 0.9 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win✓
59%
1.68
1.40
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Varna +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Arda Kardzhali to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Arda Kardzhali – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Beroe
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 2
DD
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arda Kardzhali and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Varna 17%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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