Septemvri Sofia 13%Draw 21%CSKA Sofia 66%Expected goals 0.76 – 1.93
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Sofia to win66% · @1.30
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.41
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSKA Sofia travel to face Septemvri Sofia on Saturday 28 February in the First League, with Stadion Lokomotiv the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; CSKA Sofia are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 0.8 xG, CSKA Sofia 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 13%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 66%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia13%fair 7.78 · @8.50
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.50
CSKA Sofia66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
2.69Expected goals
0.76Septemvri Sofia xG
1.93CSKA Sofia xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.8 – 1.9 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
CSKA Sofia (draw no bet)
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
CSKA Sofia to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Septemvri Sofia – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSKA Sofia 66%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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